Unstoppable Trump Triumphs Over Democrats in 2024 Elections

In an unforgettable chapter of American history on November 5, the United States Presidential election declared the victory of the strong-willed Republican nominee, Donald Trump, marking a resounding defeat for Democrat Kamala Harris. The Electoral College, undeniably in favor of Trump, reported a hefty tally of 312 electoral votes for him, surpassing Harris who obtained just 226 votes. The event was truly significant as the battleground states of Nevada, Wisconsin, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, bestowed their trust on Trump, thus making him their chosen leader.

Trump’s triumph was not limited to the Electoral College, as he also received overwhelming approval from the populace. Notably, with a margin of 49.8% to 48.3%, he accomplished a popular vote triumph over his Democrat counterpart Harris. This achievement established Trump as the first Republican to win the popular vote since 2004, breaking the cycle of Republicans capturing the presidency without the popular vote in the elections of 2000 and 2016.

In numerical figures, Trump’s victory over Harris amounted to 77.3 million votes compared to 75.0 million for Harris. It is pertinent to highlight that the voter turnout in this election, while lower compared to 2020, was a robust 63.9%, reiterating citizens’ dedication to participate in the democratic process. In spite of the relatively lower turnout when compared to the highest record since 1900 of 66.4% in the 2020 election, the American people made their voices heard.

The electoral mechanism of the United States, premised on the winner-takes-all basis for awarding electoral votes, allows significant margins for electoral winners. Reflecting on the electoral history, Democrat Barack Obama, in comparison to Trump’s resounding victory in 2024, could only secure more electoral votes in the years 2008 and 2012.

Decoding the electoral dynamics, when states along with their electoral votes are ranked from the highest support for Democrats to Republicans, the state providing the ambitious electoral count of 270 to the winner is deemed as the ‘tipping-point’ state. In this election, Trump was successful in making Pennsylvania the remarkable tipping-point state.

With a margin of 1.7%, Trump successfully outperformed in Pennsylvania, rendering it as the state that led him across the crucial figure of 270. Interestingly, the national popular vote and Trump’s victory margin in Pennsylvania mirrored each other with a negligible difference of 0.2%. This slight disparity, however, keeps Democrat hopes alive for a nail-biting near-tie in their favor in the popular vote to secure the presidency in the upcoming election.

Presidential elections are unpredictable, but the factual Hispanic swing towards Trump and consequent reduction of the Republicans’ Electoral College advantage were key determinants of the 2024 election. The great strides made by Trump in garnering massive Hispanic support have reduced his dependency on the key states marked by lower Hispanic populations.

The shift of Hispanic voter preference can be ascribed to the decreasing racial polarization coupled with growing educational polarization of the nation. Shedding prior biases, Hispanics, akin to the whites lacking a university education, have significantly leaned towards Trump, thereby marking a shift from their erstwhile preference for Democratic candidates.

The US House of Representatives, composed of 435 members elected based on population, saw an all-round contest where victories were spread evenly. An election is held every two years and in this one, the Republicans outshone the Democrats, holding 220 seats compared to the Democrats’ 215.

Alongside, in the race for Senate seats, where each of the 50 states is represented by two senators serving six-year terms, Democrats faced a steep slope. Earlier having a slight 51-49 majority, including independent allies, Democrats were facing the challenge of defending 23 of the 33 seats up for election in the 2024 elections.

Adding to the Democratic woes, the challenge became more daunting defending seats in the states where Trump had a significant triumph – Ohio, Montana, and West Virginia. The rationale behind this difficulty is the bias of the two-senator-per-state rule to Republicans who hold a strong ground in low-population rural states.

Interestingly, in the last decade, left-wing parties globally have lost favor amongst voters without a formal university education, but have seen an increase in support from those who have. University-educated people possess a greater propensity to vote in not only high stake elections but also in lower-turnout elections like the midterm elections.

If the Democrats can leverage a higher voter turnout and capitalize on potential Trump unpopularity, they may bring Republicans to their knees in the 2026 elections. This could put some seemingly secure Republican Senate seats at risk. Even with a potential Democratic win in Maine and North Carolina Senate seats, Republicans might still have a slim 51-49 Senate majority.

Thus, moving forward, to shift the balance of the Senate in their favor, Democrats would have to target states where they previously lost by substantial margins. This list includes Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, where Trump won convincingly. It will be an uphill climb for Democrats, but one they’re forced to confront with resilience.