JD Vance Predicts U.S. Will See ‘Net Negative Immigration’ in 2025

Vice President JD Vance delivered a forceful defense of the Trump administration’s immigration enforcement Wednesday, predicting that 2025 will mark the first year in over half a century that the United States experiences “net negative immigration.”

Speaking at an artificial intelligence summit in Washington co-hosted by the All In Podcast and the Hill and Valley Forum, Vance directly addressed concerns from conservatives who say the administration isn’t moving fast enough on deportations.

“In 2025, we will have the first net negative immigration number in about 50 or 60 years in the United States,” Vance declared. “That is not a fluke — that’s the result of relentless enforcement, better policy, and a commitment to putting the American worker first.”

While the administration has faced lawsuits and bureaucratic hurdles in its pursuit of one million deportations this year, Vance said the overall numbers show clear progress. “If you look at the net number of deportations and compare it to how many people are being let in,” Vance explained, “we’ve already made historic gains.”

He also pushed back hard against claims from some Democrats and media outlets that the Biden administration deported more migrants than Trump. “That’s a completely fake statistic,” he said. “It counts people who were briefly processed and released under Biden, and then later removed. That’s not enforcement — that’s catch and release with extra steps.”

Citing a New York Post report, Vance noted that Border Patrol did not release a single illegal alien into the U.S. interior in May — a stark contrast with May 2024, when over 62,000 illegal crossings occurred.

Vance then shifted his focus to corporate exploitation of the immigration system, targeting tech giants like Microsoft for what he described as “displacement of American labor.” He criticized companies for laying off American workers while simultaneously applying for H1-B visas to bring in foreign labor.

“You see some big tech companies where they’ll lay off 9,000 workers, and then they’ll apply for a bunch of overseas visas,” Vance said. “That doesn’t make sense to me. That’s a bulls*** story.”

The vice president appeared to directly reference Microsoft, which recently announced layoffs affecting 9,000 workers — just as rumors circulated that the company has applied for over 6,000 H1-B visas in the current fiscal year. Last year, Microsoft received nearly 9,500 such visas.

“What the president has said is very clear,” Vance continued. “We want the best and brightest — real innovators — to come here legally, contribute to our economy, and help us lead in AI and beyond. But we’re not going to let globalist corporations game the system to replace American workers.”

Vance’s remarks came just days after President Trump announced a $90 billion commitment from several major tech firms to build AI infrastructure in Pennsylvania. During that summit, Trump signed a trio of executive orders aimed at unleashing American innovation in artificial intelligence by cutting red tape and promoting domestic talent.

“We created the digital age, and now we are leading the world into the golden age,” Trump declared at the signing ceremony. “With your help, that golden age will be built by American workers. It will be powered by American energy. It will be run on American technology, improved by American artificial intelligence.”

Vance’s speech served to link two of the Trump administration’s key policy goals: securing the border and winning the race for 21st-century technology. As he made clear, the White House views both as issues of national survival — and both as battlegrounds where the America First agenda is reshaping the playing field.